The latest French Election Poll places far-right leader Marine Le Pen and hard-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon ahead of their potential rivals for the 2027 presidential election. The findings also point to growing political divisions as France approaches the next national vote.
Research conducted by Toluna Harris Interactive between November 3 and November 5 shows Le Pen leading the first round. Depending on the scenario, she could secure between 34 and 36 percent of the vote.
Those figures remain close to the previous month’s results. An earlier survey placed Le Pen’s expected support between 35 and 37 percent.
Meanwhile, Melenchon continues to strengthen his position as a leading challenger. The France Unbowed candidate reaches the second round in all five scenarios examined, securing either 18 or 19 percent.
However, the poll suggests Le Pen would comfortably defeat Melenchon in a head-to-head second-round contest. The findings therefore highlight her strong position while showing Melenchon’s growing support among voters.
The political landscape is also changing as President Emmanuel Macron approaches the end of his second and final five-year term. His departure leaves an increasingly weakened political centre, alongside economic difficulties that have created opportunities for more hard-line movements.
Both leading candidates have extensive experience in presidential campaigns. Melenchon previously contested elections in 2012, 2017 and 2022, but never reached the second round.
Similarly, Le Pen participated in those three elections and advanced to the final round twice. She lost both contests, facing Macron in 2017 and again in 2022.
The French Election Poll indicates that both candidates remain influential figures ahead of the 2027 campaign. Nevertheless, the results reflect voting intentions at the time of the survey, rather than a final election outcome.
As the campaign approaches, France’s political divisions and the strength of competing movements will remain important factors. The next election will determine whether established political forces can regain support or face further challenges.
