October Fuel Prices in the UAE could increase after international crude prices remained elevated throughout September. Brent crude recently moved above $107 a barrel, adding pressure to the country’s next monthly fuel-price review. However, improving regional supply routes could limit some of the upward pressure on motorists.
Brent, the international oil benchmark, climbed more than 2 percent during Monday trading. The benchmark had briefly fallen toward $97 a barrel during the previous week. However, renewed concerns surrounding Middle Eastern supply routes pushed prices higher again.
Oil prices remain substantially above levels recorded before the regional conflict began. Brent traded around $72 a barrel in late February before climbing sharply afterward. The benchmark also remains significantly higher than its level during the same period last year.
For UAE motorists, however, one daily oil-price movement does not determine monthly fuel rates. Instead, broader international market trends throughout September carry greater importance. Consequently, sustained elevated crude prices could influence the upcoming adjustment.
The UAE currently charges Dh3.80 per litre for Super 98 petrol. Special 95 costs Dh3.69, while E-Plus 91 stands at Dh3.61 per litre. Diesel currently costs Dh4.30 per litre under September’s approved rates.
Those prices remain below several peaks recorded earlier during 2026. Super 98 reached Dh3.95 per litre during June, while Special 95 reached Dh3.83. Meanwhile, E-Plus 91 climbed to Dh3.76 during the same month.
Therefore, Super 98 would require a 15-fils increase to return to its June level. Special 95 would need a 14-fils increase to reach its earlier peak. E-Plus 91 would require another 15 fils to match its June price.
The latest oil-market movement therefore increases the possibility of higher petrol prices during October. Nevertheless, motorists do not yet have enough information to determine the eventual monthly adjustment.
A change of 10 fils per litre would also affect household fuel spending. For example, filling a 60-litre tank would cost Dh6 more after such an increase. An 80-litre tank would instead require an additional Dh8 for the same adjustment.
Similarly, a 20-fils increase would add Dh12 to a 60-litre tank. The same increase would add Dh16 when motorists fill an 80-litre tank. These calculations illustrate possible costs rather than predicting the official October rates.
Regional supply developments could nevertheless provide some relief for international oil markets. Saudi Arabia has worked to restore export capacity through routes that avoid the Strait of Hormuz. The development could provide additional flexibility for crude shipments and reduce some supply concerns.
However, the recovery of alternative export routes remains incomplete. Some customers may not immediately receive additional crude through those routes. Therefore, increased supply capacity may help moderate prices without completely eliminating existing market pressure.
Diplomatic developments could also influence crude prices during the remaining days of September. Talks involving the United States and Iran continue through intermediaries. However, uncertainty surrounding regional energy flows remains a significant factor for international markets.
Brent has shown considerable volatility during September as traders respond to changing developments. The benchmark approached $110 earlier before retreating toward the high-$90 range. Its subsequent recovery above $100 demonstrated the market’s sensitivity to regional supply concerns.
For UAE motorists, the final days of September could therefore prove particularly important. If Brent remains near $100, upward pressure could continue into the next review. Conversely, a sustained decline could reduce some pressure on October fuel rates.
Improved regional export capacity could also moderate international prices if additional crude reaches global markets. Likewise, diplomatic progress could ease concerns surrounding future supply disruptions. However, renewed disruptions could quickly increase volatility and strengthen upward pressure.
October Fuel Prices will ultimately depend on the broader market trend rather than one isolated crude-price movement. The monthly review will consider conditions developing through the end of September. Therefore, motorists should wait for the official announcement before assuming a specific increase.
For now, elevated Brent prices have strengthened the possibility of another adjustment. Yet several factors could still change the outlook before UAE authorities announce October’s official rates.
